Yes position
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.86K
- Potential profit
- $235.86K
- User PnL
- -$3.48K
Polymarket Trader
rated
0xa3ad70cf48a2f2b44163e798223c01a2c2536866
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.05M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.86K
- Potential profit
- $235.86K
- User PnL
- -$3.48K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.34K
- Potential profit
- $235.34K
- User PnL
- -$3.47K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.34K
- Potential profit
- $235.34K
- User PnL
- -$3.47K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.33K
- Potential profit
- $235.33K
- User PnL
- -$3.47K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.33K
- Potential profit
- $235.33K
- User PnL
- -$3.47K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $234.28K
- Potential profit
- $234.28K
- User PnL
- -$3.44K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.46K
- Potential profit
- $233.46K
- User PnL
- -$3.43K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.23K
- Potential profit
- $233.23K
- User PnL
- -$3.42K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.02K
- Potential profit
- $232.02K
- User PnL
- -$3.4K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.06K
- Potential profit
- $231.06K
- User PnL
- -$3.39K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.09K
- Potential profit
- $226.09K
- User PnL
- -$3.27K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.72K
- Potential profit
- $212.72K
- User PnL
- -$3.01K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.82K
- Potential profit
- $200.82K
- User PnL
- -$8.25K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.82K
- Potential profit
- $200.82K
- User PnL
- -$8.25K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.82K
- Potential profit
- $200.82K
- User PnL
- -$8.25K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 17?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.82K
- Potential profit
- $200.82K
- User PnL
- -$8.25K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 14?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.82K
- Potential profit
- $200.82K
- User PnL
- -$8.25K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 18?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.15K
- Potential profit
- $198.15K
- User PnL
- -$8.13K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 19?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195.66K
- Potential profit
- $195.66K
- User PnL
- -$8.02K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 20?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.73K
- Potential profit
- $194.73K
- User PnL
- -$7.97K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 21?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.16K
- Potential profit
- $182.16K
- User PnL
- -$7.34K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 22?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.78K
- Potential profit
- $177.78K
- User PnL
- -$7.12K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 23?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.77K
- Potential profit
- $177.77K
- User PnL
- -$7.12K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.86K
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.17K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.28K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.73K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.16K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.19K
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.05K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.42K
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.94K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.3K
Yes position
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.85K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.25K
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.88K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.75K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.67K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.54K
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.03K
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.13K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.12K
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.7K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.78K
No position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.96K
Yes position
Will no leader be out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.52K
Yes position
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.4K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No 0.5% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No 1.6% 3,998.41 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No 2.4% 1,000 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?No 0.7% 2,000 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?No 0.8% 10,000 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?No 0.8% 10,000 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?No 0.7% 9,000 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?No 0.9% 4,000 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?No 0.9% 5,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.8% 5,999.97 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 46.2% 1,000 shares
- Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No 96.2% 51 shares