Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $218.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $28.75
Polymarket Trader
maybeNextMonth
0xa3ae7824bf29c3a72c2f37ac242586788ecb479e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $789.24
- Realized PnL
- $396.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $190.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $20.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $129.75
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$12.25
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $89
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $99.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $20.14
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $55.86
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$6.46
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $48.58
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Trump on $250 bill this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $44.48
- Potential profit
- $39.81
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$7.63
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $27.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $12.6
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.37
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $16.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $9.36
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $1.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.4
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.8
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.48
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
Yes position
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.19
70k position
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Over 5.5 position
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Multiplier
- 10.64x
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will China join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes 21% 26 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 31% 130.61 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 75% 200 shares
- Trump on $250 bill this year?Yes 9% 50 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 86% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 32% 10.38 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 29.5% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 20% 6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 77% 100 shares
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes 13% 30 shares