Polymarket Trader

vswell

0xa3cb09696a1286e368afaa6d1218ce5070202d35

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $191.79
Realized PnL: $101.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $123.91
Potential payout: $125.93
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.57

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $24.33
Potential payout: $44.64
Potential profit: $20.31
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.67

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.06
Potential profit: $39.06
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $18.33
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$6.67

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $32.47
Potential profit: $30.11
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$22.65

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $22.87
Potential payout: $30.49
Potential profit: $7.62
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$2.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.97

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.27

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.43

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.15

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 90.8% 125.93 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 77% 32.47 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 56% 44.64 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 82% 30.49 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 75% 33.33 shares
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Yes 99.9% 54 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 99.9% 124.39 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 64% 39.06 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 92% 42.55 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 47% 42.55 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 99.9% 43.47 shares
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Yes 46.3% 54 shares