Anthropic position
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $35.59
- Potential payout
- $42.62
- Potential profit
- $7.03
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Polymarket Trader
Xiaoliziya
0xa3cd50527b4f771e80fab45edf6ff4d14f9403af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.1
- Realized PnL
- $94.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $10.4
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.03
No position
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Current value
- $10.04
- Potential payout
- $11.12
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $9.51
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
No position
Government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $8.28
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $2.57
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $6.98
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.77
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $5.63
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $5.44
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Oh My God position
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.98
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 28?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.06
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
LNG Esports position
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
JD Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
Oh My God position
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
LNG Esports position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.99
T1 position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 56% 25.42 shares
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 59% 25.42 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No 98.1% 5.55 shares
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 72.4% 17.54 shares
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 57% 17.54 shares
- Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No 92% 5.68 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 83.7% 8.88 shares
- Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No 70% 5 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?No 44% 11.36 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No 54% 9.26 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No 90% 5.56 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No 75% 6.67 shares