Polymarket Trader

0xa3D4b60Ad5AA0a5AD0ecfF1C3B196DbF81604128-1774939699176

0xa3d4b60ad5aa0a5ad0ecff1c3b196dbf81604128

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.4
Realized PnL: $401.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $9.11
Potential payout: $23.62
Potential profit: $14.51
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $0.6

Chicago White Sox position

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $5.87
Potential payout: $12.49
Potential profit: $6.62
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $4.52
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $3.61
Potential payout: $4.3
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.7%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $4.27
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $3.27
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $3.83
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $3.72
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82.8%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $3.71
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $3.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $3.29
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $3.21
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $3.12
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Los Angeles Angels position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $136.65

Kansas City Royals position

Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.98

Over position

Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.56

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.19

Cabo Verde position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.22

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.78

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.63

Under position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

Mark Lajal position

Birmingham: Mark Lajal vs Leandro Riedi

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

Under position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

No position

Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Curaçao position

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Under position

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66

Over position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

Elise Mertens position

Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertens

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Milwaukee Brewers position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.22

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants 77% 9.23 shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers

Los Angeles Angels 44.8% 458.41 shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers

Los Angeles Angels 12% 164.59 shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers

Los Angeles Angels 14% 97.94 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

Morocco 78.3% 6.96 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

No 45% 20.38 shares
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Under 62.3% 10.88 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

Morocco 65.5% 6.96 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 44% 16.61 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova

Marta Kostyuk 54% 8.47 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff

Karolina Muchova 38% 11.76 shares
Contrexeville: Clara Burel vs Alicia Herrero Linana

Clara Burel 58% 19.22 shares