Polymarket Trader

0xA3D7D084D6F2FaCe6B8F1898108E8fbEE39b8de8-1730810432286

0xa3d7d084d6f2face6b8f1898108e8fbee39b8de8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.33
Realized PnL: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $3.42K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.1
Potential profit: $950.1
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.1
Potential profit: $950.1
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $929.15
Potential profit: $929.15
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $816.01
Potential profit: $816.01
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $29.33
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $637.33
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: $27.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $633.43
Potential profit: $633.43
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $633.43
Potential profit: $633.43
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $617.76
Potential profit: $617.76
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $590.23
Potential profit: $590.23
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $553.71
Potential profit: $553.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $530.28
Potential profit: $530.28
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $530.14
Potential profit: $530.14
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.22

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.67

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.46

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $88.61

Yes position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.28

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.61

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.33

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.07

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Yes position

Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.33

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.3

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.18

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 484.84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 285.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 666.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 336.75 shares