No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xA3D9B84Ae60fF60D581199891a15c5A1a3c1a59B-1773174421945
0xa3d9b84ae60ff60d581199891a15c5a1a3c1a59b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.44
- Realized PnL
- $90.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.37
- Potential profit
- $39.37
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.1
- Potential profit
- $29.1
- User PnL
- -$19.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kurd" or "Kurdish" during Ohio visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.1
- Potential profit
- $26.1
- User PnL
- -$19.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.25
- Potential profit
- $25.25
- User PnL
- -$18.39
Yes position
Will Trump say "UK" or "United Kingdom" during Ohio visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.86
- Potential profit
- $11.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.07
- Potential profit
- $7.07
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $6.29
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.43
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.13
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Ohio visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.96
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.94
- Potential profit
- $3.94
- User PnL
- -$1.97
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.86
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.63
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Trump say "Truth Social" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.82
- Potential profit
- $2.82
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fat" during Ohio visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.74
- Potential profit
- $2.74
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp 99.1% 5.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown 72.9% 25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown 48% 37.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown 61% 15.93 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp 37.9% 5.13 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes 60.1% 10 shares
- Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" in March?Yes 29% 3.82 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 79.5% 2.9 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 30.1% 3.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 12?Yes 99.9% 3.57 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?Yes 73% 2.22 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 28% 3.89 shares