Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $488.75
- Potential payout
- $57.5K
- Potential profit
- $57.01K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $28.75
Polymarket Trader
0xa3de...111a
0xa3de21c8e8248a3bccfec6b68e33d4504802111a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.34K
- Realized PnL
- $4.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $627
- Potential payout
- $38K
- Potential profit
- $37.37K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $57.04
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $218.38
- Potential payout
- $3.97K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$436.6
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $10.33
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $56.33
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $521.05
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.71
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.03
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.76
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151.35
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.21
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.78
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.24
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.16
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.97
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.31
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.28
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.55
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.86
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.84
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $45.3
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.22
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $39.08
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $37.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.49
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 1,250 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 1,250 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 1,250 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 16% 62.5 shares