Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$352.87
Polymarket Trader
CapitanGrow
0xa3ee2ddf7f85e203b04b5c62cb12ae399af17030
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.21K
- Realized PnL
- -$197.86
- Win rate
- 61.9%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$41.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $944.42
- Potential profit
- $944.42
- User PnL
- -$39.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $897.36
- Potential profit
- $897.36
- User PnL
- -$15.47
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $96.16
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $13.74
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.25
- Potential profit
- $87.25
- User PnL
- -$22.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.68
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.44
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.27
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.74
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.56
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$27.2
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$41.87
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$88.08
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$239.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?Yes 96.9% 206.4 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?Yes 96.8% 206.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 91% 109.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 55.1% 130.13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 1,052.63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 63% 61.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 63% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 63% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 63% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 62% 161.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 32% 937.5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes 88.6% 112.81 shares