No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$902
Polymarket Trader
JPDegen
@JPdegen
0xa406a2fb840839cf67928b407187e3ec165ebd18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump say "Bridge" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $999.97
- User PnL
- -$299.99
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 6+ times in Corpus Christi on Friday?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $937
- Potential profit
- $937
- User PnL
- -$299.84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$630
No position
Will JD Vance say "Tax" 6+ times in Wisconsin on Thursday?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $844.88
- Potential profit
- $844.88
- User PnL
- -$367.71
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $699.98
- Potential profit
- $699.98
- User PnL
- -$426.99
Celtics position
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $591.36
- Potential profit
- $591.36
- User PnL
- -$307.51
No position
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540
- Potential profit
- $540
- User PnL
- -$399.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10PM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" during the announcement on Thursday?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.96
- Potential profit
- $433.96
- User PnL
- -$99.81
No position
Will Trump say "Trump" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $394.18
- Potential profit
- $394.18
- User PnL
- -$106.43
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $394
- Potential profit
- $394
- User PnL
- -$299.44
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $393.9
- Potential profit
- $393.9
- User PnL
- -$149.68
No position
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" 2+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $388
- Potential profit
- $388
- User PnL
- -$112.52
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335
- Potential profit
- $335
- User PnL
- -$10.05
No position
Will Leavitt say "Nuclear" or "Iran" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.2
- Potential profit
- $329.2
- User PnL
- -$75.65
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312
- Potential profit
- $312
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Trump say "Social Security" or "Overtime" or "Tip" 4+ times during remarks on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $306
- Potential profit
- $306
- User PnL
- -$149.94
No position
Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $296.35
- Potential profit
- $296.35
- User PnL
- -$20.01
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.92
- Potential profit
- $272.92
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $262.99
- Potential profit
- $262.99
- User PnL
- -$149.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 7PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238
- Potential profit
- $238
- User PnL
- -$49.98
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during remarks on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215
- Potential profit
- $215
- User PnL
- -$69.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.78
No position
Will Trump say "Stupid" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.08
Over position
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294
No position
Will JD Vance say "God" or "Hell" 6+ times in Wisconsin on Thursday?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.51
Pistons position
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.4
No position
Will Trump say "Coal" in Corpus Christi on Friday?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.72
No position
Will Trump say "Too Late" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.59
No position
Will Leavitt say "Israel" during the next press briefing?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.79
No position
Will Trump say "Intel" or "Nvidia" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.34
No position
Will Trump say "Flag" during events with Brazilian president?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iowa" in Corpus Christi on Friday?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.94
No position
Will JD Vance say "Fake News" in Wisconsin on Thursday?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.63
No position
Will Trump say "Fired" during the Champion of Coal event?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.21
No position
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.27
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $140.7
No position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "250" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.06
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.64
No position
Will Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.57
No position
Will Leavitt say "Nuclear" during the next press briefing?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.41
No position
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during the announcement on Thursday?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7PM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.87
No position
Will Leavitt say "Regime" during the next press briefing?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.94
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 15+ times during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.48
No position
Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Fitness" during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 48% 5 shares
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics 52% 582.72 shares
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over 51% 582.36 shares
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons 52% 563.3 shares
- Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 94% 270 shares
- Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 89.5% 47 shares
- Will Starmer say "Reform" 2+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 2% 86.94 shares
- Will Starmer say "Reform" 2+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 5.5% 79.12 shares
- Will Starmer say "Reform" 2+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 45.6% 70.86 shares
- Will Starmer say "Reform" 2+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 40.3% 53.78 shares
- Will Starmer say "Reform" 2+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 22% 94.42 shares
- Will Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 56% 5 shares