Over position
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.66
- Potential profit
- $227.66
- User PnL
- -$104.52
Polymarket Trader
digitalAlias
0xa40fa2ce4ea68b1e6fc249ffb9e572ce6b1970dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $169.41
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$37.22
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $83
- User PnL
- -$43.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.5
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $41.82
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$10.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.36
- Potential profit
- $41.36
- User PnL
- -$13.01
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $13.07
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $25.94
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $7.21
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.1
- Potential profit
- $31.1
- User PnL
- -$18.97
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $31
- User PnL
- -$19.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $31
- User PnL
- -$19.84
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $28
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$4.37
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$3.86
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$2.85
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$3.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $20.42
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $20.93
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $5.09
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $11.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $12.64
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $6.37
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $17.1
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $10.98
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $7.02
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.89
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.62
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.05
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.83
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.92
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.17
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.99
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.7
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.16
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.32
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.82
Frances Tiafoe position
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoe
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.7
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.57
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.24
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.63
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.08
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.49
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.2
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.74
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.85
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 22.9% 20.68 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No 2% 7.35 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Yes 32% 18 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes 6% 45 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 37% 27 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes 22% 24.99 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 85.1% 17 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 14% 19 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 90.1% 17 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?Yes 14% 10.25 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?No 10% 18 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 84% 19 shares