No position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $10.58
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Polymarket Trader
quote
0xa415f4dc2b061c3d5e57370910dee5556c126384
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.96
- Realized PnL
- $7.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.37
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $14.4
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $14.39
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.62
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $13.49
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $3.69
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.06
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Solana reach $210 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?No 99.9% 38 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No 99.9% 38.19 shares
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No 99.9% 38.15 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No 99.8% 38.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No 99.9% 38.04 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?No 99.9% 38 shares
- Will Solana reach $260 October 13-19?No 99.9% 37.96 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 October 6-12?No 99.9% 37.92 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 September 29-October 5?No 99.9% 37.88 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No 99.9% 37.85 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?No 99.6% 5 shares
- Solana above $215 on January 10?No 99.8% 11.79 shares