Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $376
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$54
Polymarket Trader
tehkai
0xa42940d612c9b2e02d3cd35a4c3f17062782368a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.61K
- Realized PnL
- $8.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $516
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $684
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$116
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$697.77
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $790.71
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $228.9
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$29.56
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $708.04
- Potential payout
- $800.05
- Potential profit
- $92.01
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $408
- Potential payout
- $800.01
- Potential profit
- $392
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$47
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $664
- Potential payout
- $800.01
- Potential profit
- $136
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $156.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $643.6
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $81.37
- Potential payout
- $774.99
- Potential profit
- $693.62
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $709.35
- Potential profit
- $709.35
- User PnL
- -$342.68
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $519.01
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $81
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $416.94
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $183.06
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$7.06
No position
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $548.99
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $329.99
- Potential payout
- $594.58
- Potential profit
- $264.59
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $16.77
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $358.01
- Potential payout
- $400.01
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.01
- Potential profit
- $400.01
- User PnL
- -$376.4
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $398.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $395.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $17.4
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $362
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $62.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $337.8
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $21.4
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $398.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- User PnL
- $62.6
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $244
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $156
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $28.56
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $371.44
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.52
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.24
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.76
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $476.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.17
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.48
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.12
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.02
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.87
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.73
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.02
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.71
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.48
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 29% 5.4 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 34% 21.2 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No 5% 1,831.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 91% 400 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 30% 600 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 86.1% 189.88 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 51% 259.91 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 64% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 61% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 80% 97.42 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No 0.1% 1,061.01 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 85% 200 shares