No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $18.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $113.8
Polymarket Trader
OriKing
0xa42c71802f9fb7ba7922774c4784b6c744d55759
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.77K
- Realized PnL
- $1.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $730.92
- Potential payout
- $768.18
- Potential profit
- $37.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $58.93
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $615.11
- Potential payout
- $617.58
- Potential profit
- $2.47
- User PnL
- $54.99
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $271.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $28.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $158.77
- Potential payout
- $205
- Potential profit
- $46.23
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $22.71
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $198.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- User PnL
- $32.3
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $173
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $57
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.19
- Potential profit
- $167.19
- User PnL
- -$100.22
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$102
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $134.39
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $65.4
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $54.6
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$15.9
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.61
- Potential profit
- $118.61
- User PnL
- -$79.03
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $97.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.1
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $79.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $20.65
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$59
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $95.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $24.5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $99.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $36.38
- Potential payout
- $97
- Potential profit
- $60.63
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$25.7
No position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96
- Potential profit
- $96
- User PnL
- -$63.09
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.97
- Potential profit
- $94.97
- User PnL
- -$61.16
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $59.13
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $21.87
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $7.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.26
No position
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.53
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.79
No position
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.04
No position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.25
No position
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
No position
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.38
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
No position
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.9
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.81
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.08
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.89
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.2
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.19
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.7
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.54
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.27
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.97
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.53
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 400 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No 99.7% 58 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 54% 50 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 67% 50 shares
- Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 70% 50 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 64.4% 56.56 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 64% 97 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 61% 100 shares
- Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92% 50 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.5% 135 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No 67.6% 49.61 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 61% 75 shares