Polymarket Trader

Natali-21

@Natali16818751

0xa42f59421b46c6ab325aaccd00a3fb6b74c3625d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $140.36
Realized PnL: $2.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $46.38
Potential payout: $57.98
Potential profit: $11.6
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $32.34
Potential payout: $37.83
Potential profit: $5.49
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $22.03
Potential payout: $37.66
Potential profit: $15.63
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$7.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $23.13
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $8.13
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.75
Potential profit: $16.75
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.3
Potential profit: $10.3
User PnL: -$4.72

Under position

Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.01
Potential profit: $8.01
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $6.19
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $6.23
Potential profit: $3.43
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$2.2

England position

Spread: England (-2.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.53
Potential profit: $4.53
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $3.42
Potential payout: $4.2
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.95

Over position

Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75
Potential profit: $2.75
User PnL: -$1.18

Bernard Tomic position

Cary: Tung-Lin Wu vs Bernard Tomic

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Zachary Svajda position

Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $1.9
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?

No 98.9% 3.84 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 19% 10.48 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 20% 10.48 shares
Cary: Tung-Lin Wu vs Bernard Tomic

Bernard Tomic 50% 2.3 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda

Zachary Svajda 50% 2.08 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 8% 29.36 shares
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5

Under 21% 5.14 shares
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5

Under 39% 2.87 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 15% 8.81 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 16% 8.76 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 22% 8.95 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 29% 8.62 shares