Polymarket Trader

0xA435

0xa435d9eb84bf50f5d72d88023a77e8c7fd1d572d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.5K
Realized PnL: $2.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $4.3K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: -$457.95

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 60.7%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $4.3K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $457.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $8.59
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $8.42
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.26

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 2, 2PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $8.24
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $8.76
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $8.41
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $8.59
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $8.49
Potential payout: $16.99
Potential profit: $8.49
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.17

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 2, 7AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $16.98
Potential profit: $8.57
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 2, 6AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $8.48
Potential payout: $16.97
Potential profit: $8.48
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.17

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $7.14
Potential payout: $14.43
Potential profit: $7.29
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Bryan Woo strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $9.89
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $8.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.93
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $9.84
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 1?

No 99.7% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?

No 69% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?

No 97% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 1?

No 95% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on July 1?

No 99.7% 10 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?

No 99.3% 10 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?

No 99.9% 10 shares