Polymarket Trader

Estwo

0xa43a1b6d84230d5237df9268e98049be2f31ad85

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.93K
Realized PnL: $1.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $6.89K
Potential payout: $7.2K
Potential profit: $305.95
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $107.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $18.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $81.55
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.25
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$2.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.6

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.48

Yes position

Will Solana reach $90 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.24

No position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.85

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.21

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Thunder position

Suns vs. Thunder

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.83

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $30.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.35

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.52

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.92

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Massimo Giunta position

Abidjan: Massimo Giunta vs Andrew Fenty

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.75

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Linda Klimovicova position

Oeiras 4: Linda Klimovicova vs Angelina Voloshchuk

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

No position

USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 96% 3,000 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 85% 300 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 91% 4,198.8 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 63% 205 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 92% 562.37 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 35% 80 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?

Yes 0.5% 13,968.92 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 94.5% 5,039.97 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?

Yes 1.6% 13,968.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Up 73% 34.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Down 30.7% 32.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Up 87% 114.94 shares