Polymarket Trader

muchlov

0xa43da0aab839cf651a70e0e310462bb53a3b00f4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.27K
Realized PnL: $49.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $22.21K
Potential payout: $22.39K
Potential profit: $179.1
User PnL: $3.02K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $745.28
Potential payout: $18.87K
Potential profit: $18.12K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$254.7

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $4.95K
Potential payout: $5.58K
Potential profit: $630.2
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $766.41

Yes position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.87
Potential payout: $5.25K
Potential profit: $5.24K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$139.13

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $4.94K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $62.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $227.5

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $180

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $588.34
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$643.07

Yes position

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $110.6

Yes position

Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $938.6
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $152.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $163.71

Yes position

Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $169.74
Potential payout: $663.03
Potential profit: $493.3
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: $89.74

No position

Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $310.79
Potential payout: $554.99
Potential profit: $244.19
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $44.4

Yes position

Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 29.7%
Current value: $97.42
Potential payout: $328
Potential profit: $230.58
Multiplier: 3.37x
User PnL: $52.81

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 36.7%
Current value: $73.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $126.6
Multiplier: 2.72x
User PnL: $58.4

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $49.76
Potential payout: $107
Potential profit: $57.25
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $6.95

No position

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $81.92
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $4.02

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $13.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $11.88
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.89
Potential profit: $8.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.61K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8K

No position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68K

Yes position

Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59K

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98K

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22K

No position

Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.03K

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.65K

No position

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 6% and 9%?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $1.45K

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $914.48

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $902.02

No position

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $867.89

Yes position

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $855.44

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $847.05

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $831.58

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $621.47

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $517.91

Flyers position

Stars vs. Flyers

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.46

Flyers position

Flyers vs. Islanders

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.91

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $400

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 27% 18,042.38 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Yes 80.4% 283.41 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 93% 9,381.49 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 18,867.92 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 12% 300 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 45% 2,465.43 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 27% 7,500 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 9% 400 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 24% 60 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 47% 2,200 shares
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Yes 89% 109 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 42% 8 shares