Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.14K
- Potential profit
- $45.14K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Polymarket Trader
Starryplough
0xa4463cfaa437c2395fccbee7195095f81024754e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $293.36
- Realized PnL
- $5.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.62K
- Potential profit
- $19.62K
- User PnL
- -$19.62
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.3K
- Potential profit
- $11.3K
- User PnL
- -$295.32
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $57.69
- Potential payout
- $7.69K
- Potential profit
- $7.63K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$42.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.24K
- User PnL
- -$199.92
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $90.35
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$258.2
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$113.91
Yes position
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $109.47
- Potential payout
- $875.8
- Potential profit
- $766.32
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$124.6
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $871.54
- Potential profit
- $867.62
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$18.56
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $827.89
- Potential profit
- $827.89
- User PnL
- -$165.58
Yes position
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $741.59
- Potential profit
- $737.51
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$18.92
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $687.65
- Potential profit
- $687.65
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $659.03
- Potential profit
- $659.03
- User PnL
- -$197.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $589.94
- Potential profit
- $589.94
- User PnL
- -$415.64
No position
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $445.08
- Potential profit
- $445.08
- User PnL
- -$226.99
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.62
- Potential profit
- $298.62
- User PnL
- -$85.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.18
- Potential profit
- $272.18
- User PnL
- -$107.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.25
- Potential profit
- $247.25
- User PnL
- -$104.64
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $21.05
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $211.51
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.63
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $69.38
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.63
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.93
- Potential profit
- $69.93
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.71
- Potential profit
- $68.71
- User PnL
- -$15.07
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $9.03
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.16
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.41
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.19
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.82
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $278.97
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.85
No position
Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.91
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.97
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $112.13
No position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.41
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.59
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.68
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $37.28
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.82
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $35.17
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.92
Yes position
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $30.95
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.03
Yes position
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $22.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?Yes 18.9% 636.11 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?Yes 2.4% 790.9 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes 4% 558.61 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes 6% 429.45 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?Yes 12% 446.37 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?Yes 17.8% 777.81 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?Yes 6% 568.96 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Yes 6.6% 1,579.46 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?Yes 13.8% 483.4 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Yes 13% 413.92 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?Yes 12% 446.36 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Yes 13.2% 1,165.54 shares