Polymarket Trader

0xa45fDDad7661a3Be8ECda55c04C81286F6bf4CbC-1768390770653

0xa45fddad7661a3be8ecda55c04c81286f6bf4cbc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.38
Realized PnL: $78.14
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.48
Potential profit: $92.48
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $16.27
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $50.4
Multiplier: 4.10x
User PnL: $9.27

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.29
Potential profit: $35.29
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.22
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.35

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.9

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.09

Yes position

Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.51

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$154.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 10.5% 66.67 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 23% 8.7 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 17% 64.71 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 85% 18.86 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 69% 206.61 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 588.05 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 6.5% 154 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 6.2% 640.67 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 53% 18.87 shares
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 17% 35.29 shares