Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $23.78
- Potential payout
- $26.13
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Polymarket Trader
Raymondb
0xa466e4c17098823de84306b4dd0a68ae693e8306
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.78
- Realized PnL
- $3.91
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Trail Blazers position
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.23
- Potential profit
- $18.23
- User PnL
- -$9.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95.7% 26.13 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82% 26.83 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 89.3% 25.69 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 93.4% 25.7 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.2% 25.73 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 25.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94.5% 25.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 25.26 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 88% 27.17 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 27.17 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 98.5% 25.53 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 97.9% 25.54 shares