Polymarket Trader

0xa46f82A23d9BD949DC62023D84e1ea1Bc19Ef109-1768863607864

0xa46f82a23d9bd949dc62023d84e1ea1bc19ef109

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $145.67
Realized PnL: $33.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $246.63
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.1%
Current value: $60.6
Potential payout: $177.98
Potential profit: $117.38
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $20.6

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $68.27
Potential payout: $153.42
Potential profit: $85.15
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$31.73

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Scotland win?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.7
Potential profit: $19.7
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Wales win?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.56
Potential profit: $15.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.34
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $6.96
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.01
Potential profit: $6.01
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $1.21
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Italy win?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Italy win?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will Scotland win?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will France win?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Scotland win?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Wales win?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will XRP reach $2.00 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 19 above $210?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 110.24 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?

No 65.2% 153.42 shares
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 500 shares
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 508.89 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.1% 38.17 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34.2% 29.24 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 58.82 shares
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 6% 14.28 shares