bmraposo

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $3.2K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.15
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $694.05
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $580
Potential profit: $580
User PnL: -$24.64

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $133.48
Potential payout: $568
Potential profit: $434.52
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $14.34

Yes position

Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $297.52
Potential payout: $500.04
Potential profit: $202.52
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $374
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $26
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $30.2

Yes position

Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $243.75
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $146.25
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $389.99
Potential profit: $385.12
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $27.33
Potential payout: $364.45
Potential profit: $337.12
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$17.54

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $44.1
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $315.9
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$11.3

Yes position

Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $130.9
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $209.1
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $6.24
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $313.76
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $10.08
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $309.92
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $4.96

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $237.96
Potential payout: $275.1
Potential profit: $37.14
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $26.63

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $7.32
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $232.68
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $2.28

No position

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Current value: $196.91
Potential payout: $213.45
Potential profit: $16.54
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$3.09

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $205
User PnL: -$118.51

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $181.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $18.7
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $94.07
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $75.42
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$5.93

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $158.32
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.42
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $156.58
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $7.87
Potential payout: $149.84
Potential profit: $141.98
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.07

Marta Kostyuk position

Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$71.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.89

Yes position

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.1

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $22

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $10.22

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $7.6

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $5.21

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $3.03

No position

Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.33

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?