No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $248.89
- Potential payout
- $287.74
- Potential profit
- $38.84
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$12.95
Polymarket Trader
Novane1
@summer136710648
0xa48523b1622aefcff55ad45c92cf224a6688c588
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $505.39
- Realized PnL
- $749.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $185
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $71.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $28.5
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $27.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.98
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.85
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.72
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.98
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.02
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.48
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.16
Yes position
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.14
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes 95% 80 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 91.8% 209.35 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 90.9% 20 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 90.9% 169.35 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 91% 67.74 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 91% 220 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 101.7 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 93.7% 25 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 233.9 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?Yes 91% 109.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 41% 101.71 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 99.9% 215 shares