Polymarket Trader

rugjfxc

0xa4914a32f835160869be123970b3738ef0875191

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $194.18
Realized PnL: $2.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Knicks position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.77K
Potential profit: $6.77K
User PnL: -$4.4K

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $194.18
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.13
Potential profit: $157.13
User PnL: -$122.56

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.92
Potential profit: $31.92
User PnL: -$18.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-10-23?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.38

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.47

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.51

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.77

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

No 98.2% 144.96 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 96.2% 142.35 shares
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?

No 97.9% 136.94 shares
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?

No 94.6% 10.06 shares
76ers vs. Knicks

Knicks 65% 6,769.23 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 96.7% 124 shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)

Bilibili Gaming 57% 31.92 shares
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-10-23?

Yes 59% 5,877.33 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 96.2% 54.48 shares
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?

No 98.5% 38.1 shares
Trump out as President by September 30?

No 99.6% 20.03 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?

No 99.6% 17.5 shares