Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $219
- Potential profit
- $215.93
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$49.49
Polymarket Trader
0xa498...5724
0xa498b4d2e456390f4c2636148c96ec3e94125724
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $3.07
- Realized PnL
- $650.61
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Yes position
Will Virginia win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.66
No position
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.68
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.31
Yes position
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.82
Yes position
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.04
No position
Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Virginia win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?Yes 71.8% 5 shares
- Will Spain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?No 75% 3 shares
- Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?No 75.6% 8 shares
- Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?No 78% 8 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?No 75.5% 7 shares
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No 99.2% 49.04 shares
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 0.7% 49.04 shares
- Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?No 99.5% 49.04 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?Yes 1.9% 49.08 shares
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 0.4% 3.11 shares
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 99.5% 49.12 shares
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 0.3% 46.01 shares