Polymarket Trader

387411007415611814092217897387

0xa49b6ea0a604c581f2a9569db42c192b1c487054

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.7K
Realized PnL: $152.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $21.87K
Potential payout: $52.7K
Potential profit: $30.83K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$4.48K

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $30.83K
Potential payout: $52.7K
Potential profit: $21.87K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $4.48K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.7K
Potential profit: $25.7K
User PnL: -$665.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.1K
Potential profit: $24.1K
User PnL: -$267.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.79K
Potential profit: $23.79K
User PnL: -$487.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.44K
Potential profit: $23.44K
User PnL: -$864.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.47K
Potential profit: $21.47K
User PnL: -$1.81K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.31K
Potential profit: $21.31K
User PnL: -$1.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.22K
Potential profit: $21.22K
User PnL: -$649.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.32K
Potential profit: $20.32K
User PnL: -$211.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.98K
Potential profit: $19.98K
User PnL: -$3.37K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.63K
Potential profit: $19.63K
User PnL: -$103.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61K
Potential profit: $19.61K
User PnL: -$267.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.38K
Potential profit: $19.38K
User PnL: -$233.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.21K
Potential profit: $19.21K
User PnL: -$1.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.8K
Potential profit: $18.8K
User PnL: -$207.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.78K
Potential profit: $18.78K
User PnL: -$1.03K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.6K
Potential profit: $18.6K
User PnL: -$211.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.19K
Potential profit: $18.19K
User PnL: -$3.8K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86K
Potential profit: $17.86K
User PnL: -$229.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.63K
Potential profit: $17.63K
User PnL: -$2.97K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.3K
Potential profit: $17.3K
User PnL: -$194.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.23K
Potential profit: $17.23K
User PnL: -$950.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95K
Potential profit: $16.95K
User PnL: -$995.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.47K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.68K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.16K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.64K

Yes position

Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27K

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55K

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09K

Yes position

Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4K

Yes position

Will March 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 19?

Yes 24.6% 20.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 7.4% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 14% 49.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?

No 94.7% 19.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?

No 95% 29.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 45.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 10% 57.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 5.2% 19.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 38% 7.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C or higher on June 19?

Yes 3.7% 19.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 52.11 shares