No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Current value
- $4.05K
- Potential payout
- $5.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$375.26
Polymarket Trader
0x3e393ae65ab39080bb7d2070f7fe217f992bef72
0xa4b2cc02c32e6f3acc285b92f8ed582085ffb6c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6K
- Realized PnL
- $7.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $530.01
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$128.06
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $235
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $174.81
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $73.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $926.52
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $812.34
- Potential profit
- $812.34
- User PnL
- -$228.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $784.87
- Potential profit
- $784.87
- User PnL
- -$99.69
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$190
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Rockets
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.01
- Potential profit
- $217.01
- User PnL
- -$19.96
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Celtics
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$104
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.81
- Potential profit
- $198.81
- User PnL
- -$159.72
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $145
- User PnL
- -$29
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Clippers
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
Pelicans position
Pelicans vs. Nets
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$45
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Raptors
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$40
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.5
- Potential profit
- $38.5
- User PnL
- -$9.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Bucks position
Pacers vs. Bucks
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $827.99
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $632.49
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $582
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Hornets
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.1
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.2
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Pacers
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.02
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Wizards
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Trail Blazers position
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.17
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 30% 150 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 75.5% 686.41 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 20% 300 shares
- Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes 20% 145 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?No 23% 999.98 shares
- Cavaliers vs. HawksCavaliers 25% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETDown 49% 48.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown 48% 79.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETUp 54% 96.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETUp 5.1% 390.41 shares