Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $27.06K
- Potential payout
- $174K
- Potential profit
- $146.94K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$59.94K
Polymarket Trader
HolyMoses7
@holy_moses7
0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8
Verified Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $187.49K
- Realized PnL
- $424.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $146.94K
- Potential payout
- $174K
- Potential profit
- $27.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $59.94K
Yes position
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $32.38
- Potential payout
- $12.95K
- Potential profit
- $12.92K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $6.48
No position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $8.39K
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $106.23
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $67.55
Yes position
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $12.47
- Potential payout
- $3.56K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $5.35
Yes position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $15.17
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.36K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $4.37
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- User PnL
- -$567.03
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- User PnL
- -$567.03
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $18.24
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $5.24
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $248.87
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $508.53
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $19.21
Yes position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
No position
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $73.54
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $67.77
Yes position
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $25.2
- Potential payout
- $900.05
- Potential profit
- $874.85
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$45.42
No position
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Current value
- $690.47
- Potential payout
- $843.58
- Potential profit
- $153.11
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$49.71
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $551.29
- Potential payout
- $580
- Potential profit
- $28.71
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $457.63
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $504.88
- Potential profit
- $504.88
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $500.03
- Potential profit
- $499.03
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.42
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $499.51
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.49
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $16.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $483.75
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$20.99
Y
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.76K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.89K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.71K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.09K
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.39K
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.2K
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.71K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.92K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.84K
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 17 be less than 1,750,000?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.23K
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 17 be less than 1,750,000?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.02K
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.5K
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise 40m on Sunday August 31?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28K
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75K
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.71K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.72K
No position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.59K
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.46K
Yes position
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78K
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?No 98.9% 22 shares
- Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No 76.7% 22 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 2.3% 43.35 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes 48.5% 44 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes 37.5% 2,066 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No 95% 27.24 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 3% 156.65 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 63% 200 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes 35% 200 shares
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.5% 2,404.71 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.7% 5 shares
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 98% 1,494.85 shares