Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.24
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Polymarket Trader
0xa4ed...8d4f
0xa4edb920eaa058e81118eb5059378697f8878d4f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $26.67
- Realized PnL
- $1.45
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.39
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $11.58
- Potential profit
- $10.32
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- $0.8
N
No position
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.6
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $6.76
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5.25
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.82
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $4.33
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- Multiplier
- 10.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.2%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $4.1
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.2%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $2.95
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?Yes 3.9% 11.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on July 9?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 9?Yes 12.2% 4.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?No 80% 0.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?No 63% 1.08 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 60.9% 2.38 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 60.8% 0.05 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 60.8% 1.01 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 60.8% 0.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?No 64% 1.56 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 60.9% 0.03 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 60.9% 0.24 shares