Athletic Club position
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.52
Polymarket Trader
dwarf-midnight
0xa50a1590fd3e0faf6b04401356a4dd3067d6774e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19
- Realized PnL
- $66.93
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.5
No position
Will France strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
No position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.6
Under position
Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Armenia position
Spread: Belarus (-1.5)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Under position
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Under position
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Over position
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Barra FC win on 2026-05-14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Yes position
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
No position
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)Athletic Club 92% 19 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over 94% 13 shares
- Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under 91% 16 shares
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under 90% 13 shares
- Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01?No 96% 12 shares
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-24?No 92% 10 shares
- Will Barra FC win on 2026-05-14?No 94% 12 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No 2.5% 198.3 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Yes 5.6% 750 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No 93.8% 1,299 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No 93.6% 1,299 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No 2.1% 168.7 shares