Yes position
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $315.47
- Potential profit
- $315.47
- User PnL
- -$88.33
Polymarket Trader
casermlywsaguler87
0xa5160a394fad0b7005f7e132f6fa7aa858f8b2ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.2
- Realized PnL
- $634.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Miami address?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.33
- Potential profit
- $153.33
- User PnL
- -$73.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.1
- Potential profit
- $104.1
- User PnL
- -$40.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.64
- Potential profit
- $102.64
- User PnL
- -$16.42
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.7
- Potential profit
- $52.7
- User PnL
- -$3.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.48
- Potential profit
- $51.48
- User PnL
- -$4.53
Yes position
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.47
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Miami address?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.5
- Potential profit
- $46.5
- User PnL
- -$11.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $40.05
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$7.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.66
- Potential profit
- $9.66
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by between 190 and 219 seats?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.33
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.13
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Yes position
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $30.73
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.07
Yes position
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17.5B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.77
No position
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times during Ohio visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.05
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
Yes position
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $14.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.09
No position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?Yes 20% 6.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?Yes 21% 43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?Yes 29% 19.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?Yes 25% 3.4 shares
- Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by June 30?Yes 33.3% 18.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 22?Yes 14% 16.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 22?Yes 25% 13.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?Yes 17.8% 13.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?Yes 36.8% 25.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?Yes 38.6% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 20?Yes 17% 23.66 shares
- Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by June 30?Yes 21% 20 shares