No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $13.49
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Polymarket Trader
0xa518...91a3
0xa518e032902d32d4ed7bd892881d0c78d25491a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $61.38
- Realized PnL
- $37.09
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $18.32
- Potential profit
- $8.34
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $10.87
- Potential payout
- $14.21
- Potential profit
- $3.34
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $11.2
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $9.16
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.78
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.14
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $6.51
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.77
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.56
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 49% 9.16 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 75% 6.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 68% 14.21 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 43% 23.26 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 64.8% 15.25 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No 86.6% 3.23 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 21% 6.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 44% 8.75 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 77% 6.08 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 44% 8 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.4% 178.57 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?Yes 44% 14 shares