Polymarket Trader

dat-guy

0xa51bc56074d9ee39eab63605c7710420c27cd6f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.3
Realized PnL: $1.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.31
Potential profit: $32.31
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $25
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$4.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.55
Potential profit: $29.55
User PnL: -$13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.61
Potential profit: $20.61
User PnL: -$10

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.24
Potential profit: $14.24
User PnL: -$3.85

Over position

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.31
Potential profit: $11.31
User PnL: -$4.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $6.49
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.14
Potential profit: $3.14
User PnL: -$2.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $2.74
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31
Potential profit: $1.31
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.49

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.98

Yes position

Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.1

Yes position

AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.62

Yes position

Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.82

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.54

Yes position

Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.39

Yes position

Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.24

Over position

FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.6

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.3

Yes position

Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.81

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3PM ET

Up 33% 30.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2PM ET

Up 52% 22.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2PM ET

Up 36% 22.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2PM ET

Up 49.4% 38.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2PM ET

Up 24% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2PM ET

Up 39% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1PM ET

Down 44% 29.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Up 57.1% 17.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Up 55% 18.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 98% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11AM ET

Down 77% 6.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10AM ET

Down 48.5% 20.61 shares