Polymarket Trader

51lemons

0xa51cf947f429ec942e5fcb26d4e3a4d436a7db68

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.42K
Realized PnL: $10.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $170.17
Potential payout: $30.94K
Potential profit: $30.77K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.12K

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $287.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.71K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.01K

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.19K
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $3.59
User PnL: $1.91K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $5.38K
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $500
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $382.35

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $102.24
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $203.46

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $166.72
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $587.92

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $143.94
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $371.21

Yes position

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$299

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $342
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $58
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $42

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $380.71
Potential payout: $380.71
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $80.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $471.58

No position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.99

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.99

No position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.84

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.4

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275

No position

Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.36

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.83

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.03

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.23

No position

Will Trump say "Ass" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.99

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.36

Yes position

Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Yes 0.1% 1,110 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 0.2% 2,000 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 85% 5,882.35 shares
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 75% 400 shares
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 31% 1,000 shares
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Yes 0.3% 536 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Yes 78.8% 380.71 shares
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Yes 21.2% 236.01 shares
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?

Yes 90% 555.34 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

No 80% 625 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Yes 4% 2,631.57 shares