Polymarket Trader

Rileym

0xa53865ea7b438cb13013b7c2ac1985d8c257fee3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.93
Realized PnL: $68.93
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$33.71

No position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.42
Potential profit: $418.42
User PnL: -$119.93

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.44
Potential profit: $60.44
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.75
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 20?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.82
Potential profit: $23.82
User PnL: -$5.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.75
Potential profit: $20.75
User PnL: -$10.58

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $13.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $6.9
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.24
Potential profit: $16.24
User PnL: -$8.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.13
Potential profit: $15.13
User PnL: -$7.72

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.21
Potential profit: $7.21
User PnL: -$0.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.29
Potential profit: $6.29
User PnL: -$3.19

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.01
Potential profit: $4.01
User PnL: -$2.03

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $1.89
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $0.03

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Monday?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.8

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shots AND Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots AND Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals AND Portugal leading at halftime?

22.5% 48.76 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Down 51% 10.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Down 51% 3.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Up 13% 6.73 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Yes 11% 42.53 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Yes 12% 39.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 48% 2.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 57% 1.81 shares