Yes position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$6.18
Polymarket Trader
lastnight
@FTXEurope
0xa5426216cd623e1e665960e5758d48e337a10d2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$91.07
- Win rate
- 95.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.95
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Usyk position
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$117.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No 95.7% 5 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No 83.6% 5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 13% 8 shares
- Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes 17% 10 shares
- Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes 99.4% 21 shares
- Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes 98.7% 9 shares
- Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes 91.5% 302.01 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No 98.6% 96 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 98% 93 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No 99.5% 91 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No 99.1% 100.63 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 98.1% 101.94 shares