Polymarket Trader

sss4

0xa5435433645a8dc3595ecbf87b2e568ec6a4d47e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.11K
Realized PnL: $738.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $828.47
Potential payout: $7.2K
Potential profit: $6.38K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$795.84

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Was Trump hacked?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $5.65K
User PnL: -$521.36

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $71.15
Potential payout: $4.59K
Potential profit: $4.52K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$11.48

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $178.85
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$196.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $609.99
Potential profit: $609.99
User PnL: -$51.24

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $559
Potential profit: $559
User PnL: -$50.31

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $550
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $8.42
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $501.59
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $24.52
Potential payout: $398.77
Potential profit: $374.25
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $377
Potential profit: $377
User PnL: -$67.86

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $349.99
User PnL: -$16.1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7PM ET

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $339.99
Potential profit: $339.99
User PnL: -$85

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10PM ET

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$87

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$112

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$24

No position

House passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121
Potential profit: $121
User PnL: -$42.35

Yes position

Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$20.4

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$24.2

Hooker position

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yan position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.31

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.54

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.75

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.48

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.6

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.25

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.88

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.6

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6PM ET

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Over position

Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will "Venezuela" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $5

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-26?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $4

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

Yes position

Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47%
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 4,590.57 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.7% 1,000 shares
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Yes 2.6% 1,051.99 shares
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 59% 55 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 14% 435.86 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 37% 571.03 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 34% 300 shares
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 20,000 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 33% 140.16 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 844 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 33% 256.15 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 5,283.24 shares