Polymarket Trader

0xA54a4FdB8FdDf3b5b3cF0BFf4131268d199eFb00-1764830068960

0xa54a4fdb8fddf3b5b3cf0bff4131268d199efb00

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $241.36
Realized PnL: $178.09
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sol Vega win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $855.93
Potential profit: $855.93
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $172.17
Potential payout: $573.9
Potential profit: $401.73
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $18.63

Yes position

Will Maxiane Rodrigues win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $68.99
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $31.01
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$16.01

Yes position

Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.84
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $25.9
Potential profit: $25.86
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will Bruno Fernandes be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.88
Potential profit: $15.88
User PnL: -$2.12

Under position

Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.06

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

No position

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.44

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.91

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will an Individual Neutral Athlete record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Poland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $100 Week of April 13 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Finland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $340 end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will West Ham finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

Yes 99.5% 100 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

Yes 99.5% 100 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 10 shares
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?

No 99.5% 200 shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Yes 28% 151.86 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

Yes 95.2% 25 shares
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in May?

No 99.1% 50 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Yes 97.5% 20 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Yes 97.3% 20 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $340 end of April?

Yes 99% 7.5 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?

No 94.3% 7.28 shares
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 183.33 shares