No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $786.73
- Potential payout
- $806.08
- Potential profit
- $19.35
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $102.12
Polymarket Trader
usdu.e
0xa5573460a3e2f9737695b5d5bad4022bed3ed95c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.29K
- Realized PnL
- $1.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $415.22
- Potential payout
- $515.8
- Potential profit
- $100.58
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $23.21
Yes position
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?
Ends Nov 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $78
- User PnL
- -$20.8
No position
Will JA21 win 9–10 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.99
- Potential profit
- $77.99
- User PnL
- -$4.42
Yes position
Will Penske Automotive Group (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.66
- Potential profit
- $77.66
- User PnL
- -$54.9
No position
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $66
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$11.31
No position
Grokipedia released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.33
- Potential profit
- $73.33
- User PnL
- -$39.01
No position
Will Ameriprise Financial (AMP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.24
- Potential profit
- $67.24
- User PnL
- -$33.39
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.6
- Potential profit
- $45.6
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Up position
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.02
- Potential profit
- $38.02
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Yes position
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $36.79
- Potential payout
- $36.79
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.94
No position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $36.72
- Potential payout
- $36.74
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $7.1
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out of Maine Senate race by December 31?
Ends Nov 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.01
- Potential profit
- $28.01
- User PnL
- -$1.42
No position
Will another Louvre heist robber be arrested by October 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$14.04
Up position
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$8.32
Up position
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.98
- Potential profit
- $25.98
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.76
- Potential profit
- $24.76
- User PnL
- -$10.89
No position
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.23
- Potential profit
- $22.23
- User PnL
- -$10.98
Yes position
Will the Tiara of Empress Eugénie be recovered by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.32
- Potential profit
- $18.32
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.9
- Potential profit
- $17.9
- User PnL
- -$13.27
Down position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.08
- Potential profit
- $17.08
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Down position
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on October 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.11
- Potential profit
- $16.11
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.82
- Potential payout
- $5.82
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $3.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Up Only podcast released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.34
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.94
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.2
Yes position
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.74
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.73
Down position
Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.51
No position
Lee Jong-seop in jail by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.31
No position
Will turnout be between 40% and 44% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.84
Yes position
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 29?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.75
No position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.15
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.73
Yes position
Will Mattel (MAT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.97
No position
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.76
Yes position
Will Boston Beer (SAM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.06
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.66
No position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.52
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.66
No position
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.04
No position
Up Only podcast released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.92
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.72
No position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.72
No position
Will "Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 9m?
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.31
Yes position
Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.96
Yes position
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 76% 515.8 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 84.9% 806.08 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 99.6% 108.98 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 97.8% 960.14 shares
- Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?No 98.3% 250.5 shares
- Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?No 96.9% 400 shares
- Will the Giants trade for Jaylen Waddle?Yes 5% 25.99 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No 28% 3.06 shares
- Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No 37% 77.98 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No 82% 10 shares
- Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No 52% 70.27 shares
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No 43% 26 shares