No position
Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $29.36
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Polymarket Trader
Aidenjs6
0xa55793a8069b023c1c2fb3477fcdc6b073475bc1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.53
- Realized PnL
- $12.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will anyone say "World Champion" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.9%
- Current value
- $8.18
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.82
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- -$11.42
Yes position
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 42°F or higher on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 62-63°F on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will "Unchosen" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will "The Addams Family" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will anyone say "World Champion" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?Yes 98% 20 shares
- Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 Week of June 29 2026?No 99.9% 35 shares
- Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?No 99.7% 18 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?No 99.1% 16 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 51.5 and 52 million views on day 5?No 97% 16 shares
- Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?No 99.1% 20 shares
- Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?No 98% 20 shares
- Will PPI YoY be between 3.0% and 3.9% in May?No 99% 16 shares
- Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes 99% 18 shares
- Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes 97% 18 shares
- Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No 99% 15 shares