No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $336.11
Polymarket Trader
Arif11
0xa55f1d9d8fdf02e19afd47e6713f54627cc64f15
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $6.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$170
No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $26.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$123.75
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$226.5
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$205
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $669.65
- Potential profit
- $669.65
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Solana reach $110 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $438.66
- Potential profit
- $438.66
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.79
- Potential profit
- $434.79
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $80 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $68.97
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.55
- Potential profit
- $42.55
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $786.66
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.35
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.97
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.7
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.56
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.96
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.85
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.72
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.29
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.45
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.87
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.73
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.12
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.95
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.99
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.16
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.95
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.36
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.99
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 26% 2,691.2 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 28% 1,248.93 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 28.1% 416.3 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 10% 1,500 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 66.1% 1,665.24 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 99.9% 318.39 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 89% 136.98 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 99.9% 313.2 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 70.2% 356.06 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94.2% 318.4 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No 73% 136.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 95.8% 313.2 shares