No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $20.09
- Potential payout
- $20.12
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.09
Polymarket Trader
lightsun
0xa560596fe7eb478ba251e5b60690e31d9d9285e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.37
- Realized PnL
- $21.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $16.1
- Potential payout
- $16.15
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.01
- Potential payout
- $16.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $10.17
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Solana hit $250 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Solana reach $250 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Solana reach $210 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Solana reach $190 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will NVIDIA reach $244 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Solana reach $140 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.9% 16.02 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.1% 16.15 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No 98.3% 10.17 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 20.12 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 99.7% 22.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 25?No 99.4% 20.11 shares
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 99.8% 20.04 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?No 99% 21.17 shares
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.9% 11.01 shares
- Will Solana reach $140 in March?No 99.3% 10.07 shares
- Will NVIDIA reach $244 in March?No 99.6% 20.08 shares
- Will Solana reach $190 in February?No 99.5% 25.83 shares