Polymarket Trader

The.BadianOne

0xa5816bbb3f8c8aa25dfb07399ca0580594ac45b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.25
Realized PnL: $15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$99.9

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$39.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11PM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $968.99
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$19

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $999.97
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$275

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$462.5

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$45.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $599.99
User PnL: -$294

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $16.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $483.75
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$28.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$97.4

Jets position

Jets vs. Kraken

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475
Potential profit: $475
User PnL: -$275.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.97
Potential profit: $399.97
User PnL: -$133.74

Yes position

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.93
Potential profit: $399.93
User PnL: -$211.96

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $373.28
Potential profit: $373.28
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.99
Potential profit: $324.99
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.18
Potential profit: $316.18
User PnL: -$215

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.12
Potential profit: $300.12
User PnL: -$178.01

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $299.98
User PnL: -$120.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9PM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$82.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5PM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tesla reach $495 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$145

Hurricanes position

Capitals vs. Hurricanes

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$152.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $851.86

Panthers position

Maple Leafs vs. Panthers

Ends Apr 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $839.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $824.89

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $804.86

Capitals position

Capitals vs. Islanders

Ends Apr 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.39

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720

Pacers position

Knicks vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $662.99

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $638.25

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $611.62

Blue Jays position

Blue Jays vs. Yankees

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $598.5

Bruins position

Avalanche vs. Bruins

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $552.5

Oilers position

Oilers vs. Golden Knights

Ends May 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.87

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $512.99

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $505

Padres position

Giants vs. Padres

Ends Aug 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $504.41

Rockies position

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $471.25

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pistons

Ends May 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.71

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10PM ET

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Apr 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.38

Knicks position

Celtics vs. Knicks

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.74

Maple Leafs position

Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Apr 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 70% 170 shares
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Yes 12% 208.33 shares
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Yes 6.7% 373.28 shares
Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 84% 96.22 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 1,665 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Down 51% 50 shares
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawks

Blue Jackets 58% 50 shares
Maple Leafs vs. Canucks

Canucks 42% 87 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 60% 25 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 30?

Down 48% 50 shares
Will Copper (HG) hit (LOW) $5.80 by end of February?

Yes 37% 5 shares
Ducks vs. Canucks

Ducks 58% 50 shares