Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- User PnL
- -$449.49
Polymarket Trader
0rtu
0xa581b5ea25087d44273ada94cef95a1910e1a14c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 4PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$140
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384
- Potential profit
- $384
- User PnL
- -$195.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334.83
- Potential profit
- $334.83
- User PnL
- -$45.83
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $311.8
- Potential profit
- $311.8
- User PnL
- -$98.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$124.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$122.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$122.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$124.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$123.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$122.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.96
- Potential profit
- $239.96
- User PnL
- -$124.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192
- Potential profit
- $192
- User PnL
- -$97.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192
- Potential profit
- $192
- User PnL
- -$97.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192
- Potential profit
- $192
- User PnL
- -$97.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192
- Potential profit
- $192
- User PnL
- -$99.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$71.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$66.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$67.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$67.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$67.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$67.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $578.81
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.82
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $75.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown 51% 14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp 51% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 4?Yes 27% 51.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown 50% 14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown 50% 14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown 50% 14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETDown 50% 14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETDown 50% 14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETDown 51% 14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETDown 51% 14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETDown 50% 14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETDown 50% 14 shares