Polymarket Trader

Santale-Tambre

0xa5827b9956299f2adc447956a9baed1506ff8ec0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $691.63
Realized PnL: $1.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $37.37
Potential payout: $803.65
Potential profit: $766.28
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $10.89
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $417.69
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$19.11

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $139.58
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $277.08
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $89.58

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $30.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $303.17
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $17.37
Potential payout: $315.79
Potential profit: $298.42
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$42.63

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $28.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $221.25
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.3%
Current value: $56.71
Potential payout: $233.85
Potential profit: $177.14
Multiplier: 4.12x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.42
Potential profit: $209.42
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $72.05
Potential payout: $208.91
Potential profit: $136.86
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $12.05

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $43.74
Potential payout: $182.65
Potential profit: $138.9
Multiplier: 4.18x
User PnL: $3.74

Yes position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $70.49
Potential payout: $145.34
Potential profit: $74.85
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $30.49

Yes position

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $28.84
Potential payout: $134.15
Potential profit: $105.31
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$11.16

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $19.53
Potential payout: $111.62
Potential profit: $92.09
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $28
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $72
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $15.95
Potential payout: $96.67
Potential profit: $80.72
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$4.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $20.94
Potential payout: $93.07
Potential profit: $72.13
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$27.36

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $29.56
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $58.68
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $77.29
Potential profit: $56.03
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 22.1%
Current value: $16.98
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $60.02
Multiplier: 4.54x
User PnL: $12.98

Yes position

Will Kevin Gausman win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $52.37
Potential profit: $51.56
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$5.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.98

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.14

Mariners position

Mariners vs. Tigers Series Winner

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

Golden Knights position

Utah vs. Golden Knights

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.67

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.36

Yes position

Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.35

Blue Jays position

Blue Jays vs. Mariners

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.78

Blue Jays position

Blue Jays vs. Mariners

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.33

Sabres position

Spread: Sabres (-1.5)

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.71

Los Angeles Dodgers position

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.67

Yes position

Will the Dodgers beat the Blue Jays 4-3

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.9

Maple Leafs position

Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

Toronto Blue Jays position

Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.87

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.94

Toronto Blue Jays position

Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

Mariners position

Tigers vs. Mariners

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.68

Brewers position

Brewers vs. Cubs Series Winner

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51

Blue Jays position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51

Toronto Blue Jays position

Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

Yes position

Will the Chicago Cubs be eliminated in the Division Series?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.57

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 12.9% 77.29 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 12% 250 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?

Yes 21.5% 93.07 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?

Yes 17.9% 111.62 shares
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?

No 19.1% 209.42 shares
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?

Yes 20.7% 96.67 shares
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 4.9% 803.65 shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

Toronto Blue Jays 47% 42.55 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 34% 88.24 shares
Canadiens vs. Sabres

Sabres 30% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 22% 136.36 shares