No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.4K
- Potential payout
- $5.9K
- Potential profit
- $501.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $597.66
Polymarket Trader
Hull
0xa591e383d23edd5e6bbec59b49502b5ab7789079
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.85K
- Realized PnL
- $12.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $210
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $990
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $174.99
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $824.97
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $638.04
- Potential payout
- $639
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- User PnL
- $26.51
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $277.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $99.41
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $0.4
N
No position
Will Trump praise Brett Kavanaugh by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88
- Potential profit
- $88
- User PnL
- -$37.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.65
- Potential profit
- $70.65
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $56.03
- Potential payout
- $63.31
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $11.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.5
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.54
Yes position
218 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.07
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $334.06
No position
Assad public appearance before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.96
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $300.27
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.52
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.41
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.05
No position
Daniel Penny found guilty?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?No 96.5% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 300 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?No 98.5% 152.94 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 88% 100 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 73% 29.44 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?No 98.5% 29.2 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?No 97% 20 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?No 88% 112 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?No 91% 27 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?No 99.3% 45.7 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?No 96% 39 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 64% 1,000 shares