Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 5AM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107
- Potential profit
- $107
- User PnL
- -$45.67
Polymarket Trader
guoerya9527
0xa593ca472a79a1b758fc79000c78f7a239f6924d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$79.46
- Win rate
- 42.1%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 7AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8PM ET
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11PM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
N
No position
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
N
No position
Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$5.46
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13.21
No position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.81
Y
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ET
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$132.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ETDown 16% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ETDown 16% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ETDown 16% 4.4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ETDown 18% 56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ETDown 9% 18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ETDown 10% 18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ETDown 12% 8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ETDown 12% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ETDown 10% 8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ETDown 10% 78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ETDown 8% 77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9PM ETDown 11.9% 77 shares