Polymarket Trader

David28

0xa597ecc30d4bfdd4d45116fbd0fcb21d4c30c90d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.64K
Realized PnL: $8.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $6.58K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $423.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $251.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$25

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.99
Potential profit: $899.99
User PnL: -$488.99

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$110

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.69
Potential profit: $289.69
User PnL: -$10.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $59
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $141
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.14
Potential profit: $97.14
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.09
Potential profit: $83.09
User PnL: -$22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.36
Potential profit: $64.36
User PnL: -$40

No position

US strikes Iraq by March 31

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.77
Potential profit: $36.77
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

No position

Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $750

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $693.12

No position

Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $670

Yes position

Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $578.07

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575

PSG position

FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.61

Yes position

US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.33

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.58

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.66

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.79

No position

Iran Nuke in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.89

Over position

Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.32

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.53

Real Madrid position

FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance)

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.8

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.07

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

No 0.1% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Up 24% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Up 55% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Up 73% 6.85 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

No 4.7% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 99% 226.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 55% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 59% 8.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 59% 8.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 61% 8.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 69% 7.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 68% 7.35 shares