No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $146.93
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Polymarket Trader
Tshors
0xa59d6ede7d09cd0113b5310fd2f9e1079cf1f9a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $642.74
- Realized PnL
- $391.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $133.65
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $118.74
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $90.49
- Potential payout
- $91.64
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $84.49
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $53.82
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.2%
- Current value
- $15.38
- Potential payout
- $45.05
- Potential profit
- $29.66
- Multiplier
- 2.93x
- User PnL
- $10.38
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $8.08
- Potential payout
- $43.1
- Potential profit
- $35.02
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $39.16
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $2.76
- Potential payout
- $37.59
- Potential profit
- $34.83
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $31.06
- Potential profit
- $27.25
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $14.72
- Potential payout
- $18.35
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $12.72
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Alcaraz position
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $11.43
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $10.36
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.67
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $6.45
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or below on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.27
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 76.5% 10.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 3?No 99.5% 120 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 4?No 99.1% 80 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 4?No 99% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on July 4?No 97% 135.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 3?No 99.1% 91.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 3?No 99% 106.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 3?No 99.2% 17.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 20?No 99.3% 71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 20?No 96.9% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 20?No 96.9% 9.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 20?No 98.9% 91 shares